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Wednesday 28 December 2011, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
67% 25% 8%
Home win
66.9%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
8.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 66.9% 1.49
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Doxa Dramas 8.2% 12.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.95
Over 1.5 59.2% 1.69
Under 1.5 40.8% 2.45
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.16
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.23
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 19.83
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 26.2% 3.82
No 73.8% 1.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 91.8% 1.09
Aris Thessalonikis / Doxa Dramas 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Doxa Dramas 33.1% 3.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
4.9
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
21.5
9.1
1.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.4
6.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
9.2
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.7
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.