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Sunday 22 January 2012, 15:00 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
16% 44% 40%
Home win
15.8%
Draw
43.9%
Away win
40.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas 15.8% 6.32
Draw 43.9% 2.28
Aris Thessalonikis 40.3% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 0.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Under 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Over 2.5 9.9% 10.10
Under 2.5 90.1% 1.11
Over 3.5 2.6% 39.18
Under 3.5 97.4% 1.03
Over 4.5 0.5% 185.87
Under 4.5 99.5% 1.01

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 16.3% 6.14
No 83.7% 1.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas / Draw 59.7% 1.67
Doxa Dramas / Aris Thessalonikis 56.1% 1.78
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 84.2% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
33.9
24.1
9.1
2.2
0.4
0.1
1
11.5
9.4
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
2.2
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Doxa Dramas goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.