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Saturday 14 January 2012, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
69% 25% 7%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
6.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 68.8% 1.45
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Doxa Dramas 6.5% 15.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.31
Over 1.5 56.3% 1.78
Under 1.5 43.7% 2.29
Over 2.5 28.9% 3.47
Under 2.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.0% 8.30
Under 3.5 88.0% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.2% 23.92
Under 4.5 95.8% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 21.5% 4.66
No 78.5% 1.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 93.5% 1.07
OFI / Doxa Dramas 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Doxa Dramas 31.2% 3.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
4.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
23.6
7.9
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
18.8
5.8
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
9.8
3.0
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
3.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.