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Wednesday 18 January 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
89% 9% 2%
Home win
88.7%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
1.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 88.7% 1.13
Draw 9.4% 10.61
Doxa Dramas 1.9% 53.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.40
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.31
Over 2.5 59.0% 1.69
Under 2.5 41.0% 2.44
Over 3.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 3.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 4.5 19.5% 5.13
Under 4.5 80.5% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 22.7% 4.41
No 77.3% 1.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 98.1% 1.02
Panathinaikos / Doxa Dramas 90.6% 1.10
Draw / Doxa Dramas 11.3% 8.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
12.8
3.8
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
18.2
5.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
16.9
4.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
11.8
3.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
6.6
1.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Doxa Dramas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.