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Saturday 17 December 2011, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
77% 16% 6%
Home win
77.2%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
6.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 77.2% 1.30
Draw 16.3% 6.14
Asteras Tripolis 6.5% 15.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.30
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.63
Over 2.5 54.6% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.4% 2.20
Over 3.5 32.2% 3.10
Under 3.5 67.8% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.2% 6.16
Under 4.5 83.8% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 93.5% 1.07
Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis 83.7% 1.19
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 22.8% 4.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
2.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
12.8
7.6
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.4
8.3
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.9
6.4
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
6.9
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.