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Sunday 29 January 2012, 17:15 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
9% 24% 67%
Home win
8.9%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
67.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas 8.9% 11.22
Draw 23.9% 4.19
Panathinaikos 67.2% 1.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.00
Over 1.5 63.2% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.8% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Under 2.5 64.3% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.6% 6.03
Under 3.5 83.4% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.51
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.0% 3.34
No 70.0% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas / Draw 32.8% 3.05
Doxa Dramas / Panathinaikos 76.1% 1.31
Draw / Panathinaikos 91.1% 1.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
19.5
16.8
9.4
3.9
1.3
1
4.8
9.5
7.5
4.2
1.8
0.6
2
1.2
2.0
1.7
0.9
0.4
0.1
3
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Doxa Dramas goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.