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Wednesday 25 January 2012, 17:15 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
20% 46% 35%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
45.6%
Away win
34.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas 19.6% 5.09
Draw 45.6% 2.19
Asteras Tripolis 34.8% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 64.9% 1.54
Under 0.5 35.1% 2.85
Over 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 1.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 2.5 9.2% 10.84
Under 2.5 90.8% 1.10
Over 3.5 2.3% 43.33
Under 3.5 97.7% 1.02
Over 4.5 0.5% 211.86
Under 4.5 99.5% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 16.8% 5.96
No 83.2% 1.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Doxa Dramas / Draw 65.2% 1.53
Doxa Dramas / Asteras Tripolis 54.4% 1.84
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 80.4% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
35.1
21.8
7.2
1.6
0.3
0.0
1
13.8
9.9
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
3.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Doxa Dramas goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.