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Saturday 21 January 2012, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
37% 37% 26%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
37.3%
Away win
26.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 36.6% 2.74
Draw 37.3% 2.68
PAS Giannina 26.2% 3.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 0.5 21.9% 4.56
Over 1.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 1.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 2.5 20.5% 4.89
Under 2.5 79.5% 1.26
Over 3.5 7.3% 13.79
Under 3.5 92.7% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.1% 47.17
Under 4.5 97.9% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.6% 3.38
No 70.4% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 73.8% 1.35
Asteras Tripolis / PAS Giannina 62.7% 1.59
Draw / PAS Giannina 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
21.9
13.8
5.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
17.6
13.3
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
7.9
5.5
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
2.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.