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Sunday 18 December 2011, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
81% 12% 7%
Home win
80.7%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
6.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 80.7% 1.24
Draw 12.5% 8.01
PAS Giannina 6.8% 14.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 41.25
Over 1.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.9% 10.08
Over 2.5 74.1% 1.35
Under 2.5 25.9% 3.86
Over 3.5 53.9% 1.86
Under 3.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 4.5 34.4% 2.91
Under 4.5 65.6% 1.52

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.0% 1.85
No 46.0% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 93.2% 1.07
Olympiakos Piraeus / PAS Giannina 87.5% 1.14
Draw / PAS Giannina 19.3% 5.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
6.1
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
9.7
8.0
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.8
8.1
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
7.4
6.1
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
5
4.5
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.