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Sunday 8 January 2012, 15:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
44% 33% 23%
Home win
43.9%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
23.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 43.9% 2.28
Draw 33.1% 3.02
PAS Giannina 23.0% 4.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.6% 6.02
Over 1.5 55.7% 1.79
Under 1.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 2.5 28.1% 3.56
Under 2.5 71.9% 1.39
Over 3.5 11.6% 8.64
Under 3.5 88.4% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.0% 25.27
Under 4.5 96.0% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.5% 2.82
No 64.5% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 77.0% 1.30
Aris Thessalonikis / PAS Giannina 66.9% 1.49
Draw / PAS Giannina 56.1% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.6
10.7
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.9
13.6
4.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
9.9
7.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.7
2.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.