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Sunday 15 January 2012, 15:00 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
38% 38% 24%
Home win
37.9%
Draw
38.3%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 37.9% 2.64
Draw 38.3% 2.61
Asteras Tripolis 23.8% 4.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 76.2% 1.31
Under 0.5 23.8% 4.21
Over 1.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 1.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 2.5 18.3% 5.46
Under 2.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 3.5 6.2% 16.22
Under 3.5 93.8% 1.07
Over 4.5 1.7% 58.48
Under 4.5 98.3% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.1% 3.69
No 72.9% 1.37

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 76.1% 1.31
AOK Kerkyra / Asteras Tripolis 61.7% 1.62
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 62.1% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
23.8
13.4
4.4
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.9
12.8
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
8.4
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
2.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.