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Sunday 5 March 2017, 17:15 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
49% 31% 21%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 48.8% 2.05
Draw 30.5% 3.27
AOK Kerkyra 20.7% 4.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 1.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.1% 3.02
Under 2.5 66.9% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.8% 6.76
Under 3.5 85.2% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.13
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 79.3% 1.26
Asteras Tripolis / AOK Kerkyra 69.5% 1.44
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
9.0
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.2
13.3
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
8.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
4.7
3.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.