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Saturday 4 February 2017, 15:00 AEL FC Arena Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
43% 30% 27%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
26.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 42.9% 2.33
Draw 30.3% 3.30
AOK Kerkyra 26.8% 3.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.36
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.9% 5.59
Under 3.5 82.1% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.97
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.3% 2.26
No 55.7% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 73.2% 1.37
Larisa / AOK Kerkyra 69.7% 1.43
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 57.1% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
9.7
4.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
13.2
13.9
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.8
8.2
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.