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Wednesday 1 February 2017, 19:30 AEL FC Arena Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
28% 29% 44%
Home win
27.7%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
43.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 27.7% 3.61
Draw 28.5% 3.51
PAOK 43.8% 2.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.45
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.7% 4.40
Under 3.5 77.3% 1.29
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.04
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.4% 2.03
No 50.6% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 56.2% 1.78
Larisa / PAOK 71.5% 1.40
Draw / PAOK 72.3% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
11.4
8.4
3.9
1.3
0.4
1
8.5
13.5
8.8
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
4.8
6.7
4.6
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
1.7
2.3
1.6
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.