Skip to content
Wednesday 4 January 2017, 17:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
52% 29% 19%
Home win
51.8%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 51.8% 1.93
Draw 29.0% 3.45
Veria 19.2% 5.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.5% 8.01
Over 1.5 63.8% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.2% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.2% 2.77
Under 2.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 3.5 16.9% 5.91
Under 3.5 83.1% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.08
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 80.8% 1.24
Larisa / Veria 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Veria 48.2% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.5
8.0
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
15.7
12.9
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
8.5
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.3
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.