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Saturday 26 November 2016, 17:15 Asteras Tripolis Stadium Full time
59% 25% 17%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 58.9% 1.70
Draw 24.5% 4.08
Larisa 16.6% 6.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.14
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.35
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.12
No 52.9% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 83.4% 1.20
Asteras Tripolis / Larisa 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Larisa 41.1% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
5.6
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.7
11.6
4.5
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.7
9.6
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.8
5.6
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.0
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.