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Monday 17 October 2016, 19:30 AEL FC Arena Full time
Larisa
1–2
HT 1–2
AEK Athens FC
30% 32% 38%
Home win
30.1%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
38.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 30.1% 3.33 — —
Draw 31.8% 3.14 — —
AEK Athens FC 38.1% 2.62 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16 — —
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.37 — —
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62 — —
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95 — —
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.51 — —
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18 — —
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.21 — —
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.39 — —
No 58.1% 1.72 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 61.9% 1.62 — —
Larisa / AEK Athens FC 68.2% 1.47 — —
Draw / AEK Athens FC 69.9% 1.43 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
13.3
7.8
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
11.3
14.3
7.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
5.8
6.4
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.8
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Larisa
D L W D
AEK Athens FC
L W W D L

Head to head

Mar 2026 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Larisa Sep 2025 Larisa 1-1 AEK Athens FC Feb 2021 Larisa 2-4 AEK Athens FC Nov 2020 AEK Athens FC 4-1 Larisa Jan 2020 AEK Athens FC 3-0 Larisa Oct 2019 Larisa 0-0 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.