Skip to content
Tuesday 31 May 2016, 20:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
33% 33% 34%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
33.5%
Away win
33.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 32.9% 3.04
Draw 33.5% 2.99
AEK Athens FC 33.7% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.33
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 8.00
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.75
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.61
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 66.3% 1.51
Panionios / AEK Athens FC 66.5% 1.50
Draw / AEK Athens FC 67.1% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
13.5
6.9
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.3
14.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
6.6
6.4
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.1
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.