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Sunday 29 May 2016, 18:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
65% 23% 12%
Home win
64.9%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
12.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 64.9% 1.54
Draw 22.9% 4.37
Panionios 12.2% 8.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.41
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.3% 4.11
Under 3.5 75.7% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.13
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41
No 58.5% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 87.8% 1.14
Panathinaikos / Panionios 77.1% 1.30
Draw / Panionios 35.1% 2.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
4.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.4
10.6
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
9.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.5
5.6
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.9
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.