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Sunday 17 April 2016, 19:00 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
78% 15% 6%
Home win
78.5%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
6.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 78.5% 1.27
Draw 15.4% 6.51
Panthrakikos 6.2% 16.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.23
Over 1.5 80.2% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.8% 5.05
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.87
Under 3.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.51
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.1% 2.56
No 60.9% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Panathinaikos / Panthrakikos 84.6% 1.18
Draw / Panthrakikos 21.5% 4.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
2.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.9
7.2
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
15.0
8.3
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.1
6.7
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
7.4
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.