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Sunday 10 April 2016, 19:00 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
35% 31% 34%
Home win
35.0%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
34.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 35.0% 2.86
Draw 30.7% 3.26
Panathinaikos 34.3% 2.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.48
Over 1.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 2.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.49
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.63
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 65.7% 1.52
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 69.3% 1.44
Draw / Panathinaikos 65.0% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
11.3
6.6
2.4
0.7
0.1
1
11.4
14.2
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.8
7.4
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.5
2.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.