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Sunday 28 February 2016, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
45% 30% 25%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
25.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.9% 2.23
Draw 29.8% 3.35
Panathinaikos 25.3% 3.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.56
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 2.5 38.1% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.9% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.44
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.48
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.3% 2.25
No 55.7% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 74.7% 1.34
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 70.2% 1.43
Draw / Panathinaikos 55.1% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
9.2
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.5
13.7
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.3
8.5
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
4.0
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.