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Sunday 24 January 2016, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
53% 26% 22%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
21.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 52.7% 1.90
Draw 25.6% 3.91
PAOK 21.7% 4.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.27
Over 1.5 75.5% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.5% 4.08
Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.55
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.4% 7.44
Under 4.5 86.6% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92
No 47.9% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 78.3% 1.28
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 74.4% 1.34
Draw / PAOK 47.3% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
6.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
10.8
12.2
5.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.7
9.7
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
5.4
5.4
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
2.3
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.