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Monday 21 December 2015, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
61% 25% 14%
Home win
60.5%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
14.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 60.5% 1.65
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Levadiakos 14.5% 6.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.11
Over 1.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.6% 3.27
Over 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.7% 4.60
Under 3.5 78.3% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.4% 10.69
Under 4.5 90.6% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.5% 2.41
No 58.5% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 85.5% 1.17
AEK Athens FC / Levadiakos 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Levadiakos 39.5% 2.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
5.8
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
14.9
11.5
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.1
9.1
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
7.4
5.1
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.