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Sunday 29 November 2015, 15:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
55% 28% 18%
Home win
54.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
17.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 54.9% 1.82
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Panetolikos 17.6% 5.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.94
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 82.4% 1.21
AEK Athens FC / Panetolikos 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Panetolikos 45.1% 2.22

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
7.1
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
15.3
12.5
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
8.9
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.0
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.