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Saturday 17 October 2015, 20:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
77% 17% 7%
Home win
76.8%
Draw
16.6%
Away win
6.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 76.8% 1.30
Draw 16.6% 6.03
AEK Athens FC 6.6% 15.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.91
Over 1.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.0% 4.54
Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.7% 3.16
Under 3.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.8% 6.31
Under 4.5 84.2% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 93.4% 1.07
Olympiakos Piraeus / AEK Athens FC 83.4% 1.20
Draw / AEK Athens FC 23.2% 4.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.0
7.7
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
15.5
8.3
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
11.8
6.4
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
6.8
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.