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Wednesday 23 September 2015, 20:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
57% 26% 17%
Home win
57.2%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
16.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 57.2% 1.75
Draw 25.9% 3.86
AEK Athens FC 16.9% 5.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.31
Over 1.5 70.0% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.0% 3.33
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.32
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.49
Under 3.5 77.8% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.35
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 83.1% 1.20
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 74.1% 1.35
Draw / AEK Athens FC 42.8% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
6.3
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
14.0
12.1
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.3
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.5
5.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.