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Sunday 14 April 2013, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
44% 32% 23%
Home win
44.3%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
23.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.3% 2.26
Draw 32.5% 3.08
Panthrakikos 23.2% 4.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.37
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 7.98
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.68
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.9% 2.71
No 63.1% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 76.8% 1.30
AEK Athens FC / Panthrakikos 67.5% 1.48
Draw / Panthrakikos 55.7% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.7
10.5
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
16.4
13.7
4.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
9.9
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.8
2.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.