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Monday 14 March 2016, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
74% 19% 7%
Home win
74.0%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
7.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 74.0% 1.35
Draw 18.6% 5.36
Panthrakikos 7.4% 13.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.75
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.83
Over 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 3.5 73.4% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.08
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.7% 2.80
No 64.3% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.6% 1.08
AEK Athens FC / Panthrakikos 81.4% 1.23
Draw / Panthrakikos 26.0% 3.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
15.0
8.4
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.2
8.3
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
11.3
5.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.9
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.5
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.