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Saturday 13 February 2016, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
27% 29% 45%
Home win
26.6%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
44.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 26.6% 3.75
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Olympiakos Piraeus 44.8% 2.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.17
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.33
Over 2.5 43.0% 2.32
Under 2.5 57.0% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.43
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 55.2% 1.81
AEK Athens FC / Olympiakos Piraeus 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 73.4% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
11.8
8.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
1
8.4
13.5
8.8
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
4.6
6.4
4.5
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
1.6
2.2
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.