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Sunday 30 August 2015, 21:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
3–1
HT 1–0
41% 30% 29%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
29.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 41.0% 2.44
Draw 29.7% 3.36
PAOK 29.3% 3.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.21
Over 1.5 67.6% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.4% 3.09
Over 2.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67
Over 3.5 20.0% 5.01
Under 3.5 80.0% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.02
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 70.7% 1.41
PAS Giannina / PAOK 70.3% 1.42
Draw / PAOK 59.0% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
9.6
5.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
12.0
13.9
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.1
8.3
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.4
3.5
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.