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Sunday 26 April 2015, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
59% 24% 17%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.4% 1.68
Draw 24.0% 4.17
PAS Giannina 16.6% 6.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.05
Over 1.5 75.0% 1.33
Under 1.5 25.0% 4.00
Over 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.7% 3.62
Under 3.5 72.3% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.1% 7.64
Under 4.5 86.9% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 83.4% 1.20
PAOK / PAS Giannina 76.0% 1.32
Draw / PAS Giannina 40.6% 2.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
5.3
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
12.0
11.4
4.6
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.5
9.7
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
6.9
5.9
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.1
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.