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Saturday 14 March 2015, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
57% 23% 20%
Home win
57.0%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 57.0% 1.75
Draw 23.3% 4.28
Asteras Tripolis 19.6% 5.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.03
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 3.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.6% 5.68
Under 4.5 82.4% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.7% 1.80
No 44.3% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 80.4% 1.24
PAOK / Asteras Tripolis 76.7% 1.30
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 43.0% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
4.8
2.8
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
9.4
11.0
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.6
9.9
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
6.1
6.3
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
2.9
3.0
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.