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Sunday 8 March 2015, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
4–3
HT 1–1
55% 25% 20%
Home win
54.7%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 54.7% 1.83
Draw 25.2% 3.97
PAOK 20.1% 4.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.16
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Panathinaikos / PAOK 74.8% 1.34
Draw / PAOK 45.3% 2.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
5.9
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.2
12.0
5.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.7
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.8
5.6
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.5
2.4
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.