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Sunday 8 February 2015, 17:15 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis Full time
55% 29% 16%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
15.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 55.4% 1.80
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Panetolikos 15.8% 6.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.8% 7.25
Over 1.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.6% 18.00
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.7% 2.80
No 64.3% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 84.2% 1.19
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 71.2% 1.40
Draw / Panetolikos 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.8
7.5
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.8
12.2
3.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.0
8.1
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
3.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.