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Wednesday 4 February 2015, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
23% 26% 50%
Home win
23.4%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
50.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 23.4% 4.28
Draw 26.4% 3.79
PAOK 50.3% 1.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.58
Over 1.5 74.5% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.5% 3.92
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 27.0% 3.71
Under 3.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.92
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.8% 1.93
No 48.2% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 49.7% 2.01
OFI / PAOK 73.6% 1.36
Draw / PAOK 76.6% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
10.9
9.3
5.0
2.0
0.6
1
6.7
12.6
9.5
5.1
2.0
0.7
2
3.8
6.1
4.9
2.6
1.0
0.3
3
1.3
2.1
1.7
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.