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Saturday 21 March 2015, 19:30 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
3–1
HT 2–0
27% 27% 45%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
45.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 27.5% 3.64
Draw 27.2% 3.68
PAOK 45.3% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.47
Over 1.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.6% 3.90
Over 2.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.4% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.8% 3.73
Under 3.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.5% 7.98
Under 4.5 87.5% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.0% 1.89
No 47.0% 2.13

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 54.7% 1.83
Panthrakikos / PAOK 72.8% 1.37
Draw / PAOK 72.5% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
10.2
8.2
4.1
1.5
0.5
1
7.4
13.0
9.2
4.6
1.7
0.5
2
4.5
6.8
5.1
2.6
1.0
0.3
3
1.7
2.5
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.