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Sunday 6 January 2013, 17:15 OPAP-Dimotiko Gipedo Komotinis Full time
1–4
HT 1–0
34% 32% 34%
Home win
33.9%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
34.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos 33.9% 2.95
Draw 32.0% 3.13
PAOK 34.1% 2.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.33
Over 1.5 61.6% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.4% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.8% 2.96
Under 2.5 66.2% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.3% 6.55
Under 3.5 84.7% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.36
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panthrakikos / Draw 65.9% 1.52
Panthrakikos / PAOK 68.0% 1.47
Draw / PAOK 66.1% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
12.4
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
12.3
14.3
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.7
6.9
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.3
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.