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Sunday 18 November 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
47% 30% 23%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 46.5% 2.15
Draw 30.2% 3.31
PAOK 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.90
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.99
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.38
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Panathinaikos / PAOK 69.8% 1.43
Draw / PAOK 53.5% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
9.2
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
14.6
13.6
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.0
8.3
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.3
3.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.