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Sunday 4 November 2012, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
1–2
HT 0–2
27% 32% 41%
Home win
27.1%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
41.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 27.1% 3.69
Draw 31.7% 3.15
PAOK 41.2% 2.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.2% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.8% 7.23
Over 1.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.4% 3.00
Under 2.5 66.6% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.0% 6.68
Under 3.5 85.0% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.82
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 58.8% 1.70
Panionios / PAOK 68.3% 1.46
Draw / PAOK 72.9% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.8
14.3
8.7
3.3
1.0
0.2
1
10.7
14.1
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.1
5.9
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.