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Saturday 20 October 2012, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
52% 28% 20%
Home win
51.7%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 51.7% 1.94
Draw 27.9% 3.59
AOK Kerkyra 20.5% 4.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.43
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.8% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.4% 4.91
Under 3.5 79.6% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.69
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 79.5% 1.26
Panionios / AOK Kerkyra 72.1% 1.39
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 48.3% 2.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
7.5
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
13.9
12.9
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.8
9.0
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.3
4.5
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.