Skip to content
Monday 17 September 2012, 20:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
41% 36% 23%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
35.5%
Away win
23.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 41.3% 2.42
Draw 35.5% 2.81
OFI 23.2% 4.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.0% 1.25
Under 0.5 20.0% 5.00
Over 1.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 1.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 2.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 2.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 3.5 8.5% 11.70
Under 3.5 91.5% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.6% 37.89
Under 4.5 97.4% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.1% 3.21
No 68.9% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 76.8% 1.30
Panionios / OFI 64.5% 1.55
Draw / OFI 58.7% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.0
12.0
4.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
18.2
13.3
4.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
9.3
6.2
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
3.1
2.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.