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Saturday 6 October 2012, 19:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
27% 32% 41%
Home win
27.2%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
41.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 27.2% 3.67
Draw 31.8% 3.15
PAOK 41.0% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 3.5 85.2% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.02
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.8% 2.45
No 59.2% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 59.0% 1.69
OFI / PAOK 68.2% 1.47
Draw / PAOK 72.8% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
14.3
8.6
3.3
0.9
0.2
1
10.8
14.1
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
5.1
5.9
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.5
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.