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Monday 3 September 2012, 20:30 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
41% 33% 26%
Home win
40.9%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 40.9% 2.44
Draw 32.6% 3.07
PAOK 26.4% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.2% 6.58
Over 1.5 58.5% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.5% 2.41
Over 2.5 30.6% 3.26
Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.2% 7.59
Under 3.5 86.8% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.20
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 73.6% 1.36
Atromitos / PAOK 67.4% 1.48
Draw / PAOK 59.1% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.2
11.2
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
15.1
14.0
5.5
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
8.8
7.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
3.2
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.