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Thursday 10 May 2012, 20:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
40% 29% 31%
Home win
40.1%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
30.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 40.1% 2.49
Draw 29.1% 3.44
Panathinaikos 30.8% 3.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.12
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.54
Under 3.5 78.0% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.48
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 69.2% 1.45
PAOK / Panathinaikos 70.9% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 59.9% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
9.3
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
1
11.0
13.8
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.6
8.4
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.3
3.6
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.