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Wednesday 2 May 2012, 17:45 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
58% 27% 15%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 57.9% 1.73
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Atromitos 15.2% 6.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.50
Over 1.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.8% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.54
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.82
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 84.8% 1.18
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Atromitos 42.1% 2.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
6.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
16.4
11.9
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
8.7
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.7
4.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.