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Wednesday 18 April 2012, 19:00 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
26% 29% 45%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
45.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 26.0% 3.84
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Panathinaikos 45.4% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.08
Over 1.5 69.7% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.3% 3.30
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.56
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 54.6% 1.83
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Panathinaikos 74.0% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
12.0
8.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
1
8.3
13.5
8.9
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
4.5
6.3
4.4
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
1.5
2.1
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.