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Saturday 24 March 2012, 19:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
30% 32% 38%
Home win
30.4%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
37.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 30.4% 3.29
Draw 31.6% 3.16
Panathinaikos 37.9% 2.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.52
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.35
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.63
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.4% 2.36
No 57.6% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 62.1% 1.61
OFI / Panathinaikos 68.4% 1.46
Draw / Panathinaikos 69.6% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
13.1
7.7
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
11.3
14.3
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
5.8
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.9
2.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.