Skip to content
Sunday 4 March 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
52% 27% 21%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
20.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.9% 1.93
Draw 27.3% 3.66
PAOK 20.8% 4.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.20
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.0% 2.32
Under 2.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 3.5 77.9% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.44
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.3% 2.16
No 53.7% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.2% 1.26
Panathinaikos / PAOK 72.7% 1.38
Draw / PAOK 48.1% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
7.2
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
13.1
12.8
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.6
9.2
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
5.4
4.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.