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Sunday 11 March 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
30% 29% 42%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
41.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 29.6% 3.38
Draw 28.8% 3.47
Panathinaikos 41.5% 2.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.32
Over 1.5 70.3% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.7% 3.37
Over 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.45
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.21
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.5% 2.02
No 50.5% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 58.5% 1.71
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 71.2% 1.41
Draw / Panathinaikos 70.4% 1.42

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
11.1
7.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
1
8.9
13.7
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
5.2
7.0
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
1.9
2.5
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.